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2024-12-13 11:30:27

Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.Guang' an Aizhong: The company's stock price has been up and down for many days, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Guang' an Aizhong issued a change announcement. On December 11, 2024, the company's stock turnover rate was 11.73%, with a turnover of 919 million yuan. Since November 21, 2024, the company's stock has experienced a daily limit of 9 trading days, with a cumulative turnover rate of 257.64%. In view of the daily limit of the company's stock price for many days, but the company's fundamentals have not changed significantly, and the risk of falling in the later period is greater. Investors are advised to make rational decisions and invest cautiously.Syrian opposition forces: Damascus curfew lifted, demanding people to return to work.


Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.After the release of CPI data, the yield of US Treasury bonds fluctuated and fell, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds reported 4.236%. The yield of two-year US Treasury bonds fell to 4.149%, and the yield curve of 2/10 US Treasury bonds steepened to 8.7 basis points.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of the Czech Central Bank: I hope to see the inflation rate drop in January, and then I can start to consider further relaxing interest rates.


CEO of Wells Fargo: Consumer loans will not be tightened again.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of the Czech Central Bank: I hope to see the inflation rate drop in January, and then I can start to consider further relaxing interest rates.German Chancellor Scholz: Decisions need to be made before the end of the year, such as improving children's welfare. It is necessary to solve the financial drag problem before the end of the year.

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